Tuesday, May 5, 2020

My Predictions



Over the months of May and June, U.S. deaths will average 2,000 per day for a two month total of 120,000 deaths. Add that to the current 68,000 and you have 188,000 dead.  I expect July, August, September, and maybe October to be less deadly with outbreaks scattered around the country. By late fall and early winter, the corona virus will be back in strength necessitating another country wide shut down. If past viral trends repeat, the second wave will be more severe than the first. It is possible that we will be better prepared with adequate PPE, a more timely response, and possibly antiviral medications. In that case perhaps the number of deaths will be somewhat lower. It isn’t over, not even close.
Now add in the effects of climate change—>wildfires in the west and hurricanes on the coasts.  







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